The Morning Line February 13 2016
Here’s the morning line out of Vegas:
Hillary Clinton |
1/100 |
99% |
Donald Trump |
8/1 |
12% |
Bernie Sanders |
8/1 |
12% |
Marco Rubio |
9/1 |
10% |
Jeb Bush |
17/1 |
5½% |
Ted Cruz |
18/1 |
5% |
Michael Bloomberg |
28/1 |
3½% |
John Kasich |
50/1 |
2% |
Joe Biden |
66/1 |
1½% |
Ben Carson |
750/1 |
Negligible |
Carly Fiorina |
750/1 |
Negligible |
Rand Paul |
- |
Suspended campaign |
Martin OMalley |
- |
Suspended campaign |
Rick Santorum |
- |
Suspended campaign |
Mike Huckabee |
- |
Suspended campaign |
Chris Christie |
- |
Suspended campaign |
Betting $100 on Hillary will win the reader $1. Marco is back where he was two weeks ago: 4th place. As mentioned previously, Ted continues to be unpopular with the betting crowd, dropping from 4th to 5th. Bernie held his odds but moved to a tie for 2nd with Donald. John Kasich leaped from 200/1 to 50/1 but still ranks below Michael Bloomberg.
Ben and Carley should cash out at this point and save some money.
The big day to reflect long-term odds will be after March 1, the day when eight states hold their primaries. Most of the states are in the southern part of the US.
Swing states–also called purple states or battleground states–hold 85 electoral votes, more than enough to tip the balance in either party’s favor:
Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida.
Ancient Mariner