Here are the poll comparisons between the candidates for President. These values are from Nate Silver’s website, 538.com.
Hillary versus Donald (NBC) 51% – 38% Hillary +13
Hillary versus Donald (ABC) 50% – 41% Hillary +9
Hillary versus Ted (NBC) 47% – 45% Hillary +2
Hillary versus Marco (NBC) 46% – 46% TIE
Bernie versus Donald (NBC) 55% – 37% Bernie +18
Bettors, who back their prediction with cash, have more confidence in Hillary – betting she will win versus anyone 65% of the time. The full morning line is below.
The Morning Line March 10 2016
Here’s the morning line out of Vegas:
Hillary Clinton | 8/15 | 65% |
Donald Trump | 10/3 | 23% |
Bernie Sanders | 8/1 | 11% |
Ted Cruz | 20/1 | 5% |
John Kasich | 33/1 | 3% |
Marco Rubio | 50/1 | 2% |
Joe Biden | 100/1 | 1% |
Mitt Romney | 200/1 | .05% |
Paul Ryan | 500/1 | .02% |
Chris Christie | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Martin O’Malley | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Ben Carson | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Carly Fiorina | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Rand Paul | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Rick Santorum | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Jeb Bush | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Michael Bloomberg | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Mike Huckabee | N/A | Suspended campaign |
Hillary is still the favorite but her odds have dropped significantly. [However, if you bet today, your profit would be $53.33 instead of just $1 if you had bet last week] The odds on Marco are noticeably different than the polls suggest; he dropped to 6th place and is a long shot. It looks like it will be Donald versus Hillary if delegate votes stay predictable. Ted is still unpopular with the betting crowd but moves up one slot to 4th place. Kasich is not a serious contender among the bettors. Bernie stays in the mix but the super delegate count is against him.
Ancient Mariner