Here’s the morning line out of Vegas:
Hillary Clinton | 10/11 | 91% |
Marco Rubio | 3/1 | 33% |
Donald Trump | 7/1 | 14% |
Bernie Sanders | 8/1 | 12% |
Ted Cruz | 16/1 | 6% |
Jeb Bush | 50/1 | 2% |
Michael Bloomberg | 50/1 | 2% |
Joe Biden | 80/1 | 1.25% |
Chris Christie | 100/1 | 1% |
John Kasich | 200/1 | ½% |
Ben Carson | 700/1 | 1/10 of Even less than less than 1% |
Carly Fiorina | 800/1 | About the size of a human skin cell |
Rand Paul | 999/1 | infinitesimal |
Martin OMalley | 250/1 | Suspended campaign |
Rick Santorum | 999/1 | Suspended campaign |
Mike Huckabee | 2000/1 | Suspended campaign |
Hillary held the same odds as always; interestingly, one bookie has taken bets for Hillary NOT to win the 2016 election at even odds. The biggest positive shift was in favor of Marco who jumped from 10/1 to 3/1, moving from fourth place to second. The biggest negative shift was Donald who dropped from 5/6 to 7/1 moving to third place. Ted continues to be unpopular with the betting crowd, staying in fifth place despite his win in Iowa; odds dropped from 12/1 to 16/1. Bernie held his odds but dropped one spot to fourth.
As to candidates with longer odds, most betting houses have stopped posting a morning line; the listed odds were taken from just two bookies.
Ancient Mariner
I don’t know whether to place a bet or comment that apparently our Bernie caucuses as well as our common socialist principles did not win the day? It is truly a sad state when rationale wins over sentiment.
The mariner understands your distress dealing with rationality and sentiment simultaneously. Neither is substantive without the other. Betting at this early stage surely would be a bet in behalf of sentimentality. The rational side is to consider that currently Bernie is campaigning in the few states amenable to his rhetoric and democratic socialism. As he moves on to the south, and especially the iron and corn belts, In those regions, the electorate still is part of the old school image of the US: small government, Norman Rockwell, disdain for welfare, and leaders who speak in pragmatic terms.
Bernie already has awakened the liberal side of our population and will continue to harass the campaign (and the silly press) in a manner to keep the liberal sentiment a key factor. His efforts, whether nominee or not, will draw a larger democratic vote.